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Australian Consumer Confidence Edges Up After May Rate Cut as Business Activity Stalls

Consumers showed tentative optimism after the Reserve Bank cut rates in mid-May with markets pricing in further easing.

Shoppers walk out of a mall in Sydney's CBD in Sydney, Australia, July 3, 2024. REUTERS/Jaimi Joy/File Photo
A view of the Sydney Tower Eye and Central Business District (CBD) in Sydney, Australia, April 29, 2025. REUTERS/Hollie Adams/File Photo
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Overview

  • A Westpac-Melbourne Institute survey found consumer sentiment rose 0.5% in June to 92.6 but remained below the neutral 100 mark.
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia reduced its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in mid-May and signaled willingness to lower rates further.
  • National Australia Bank data showed its business conditions index slipped to zero in May with retail profitability and confidence under pressure.
  • Households downgraded their personal finance expectations by 1.9% and cut their 12-month economic outlook by 2.4%, even as they signaled stronger buying intentions for major items.
  • Markets are pricing in another RBA rate cut in July after first-quarter GDP barely grew and inflation continued to moderate.