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Australian Business Confidence Stagnates as Costs Rise and Investments Stall

National Australia Bank survey highlights weak conditions in April, with markets anticipating an RBA rate cut to counter economic uncertainty.

People walk through a shopping mall in Sydney, Australia, October 12, 2021.  REUTERS/Loren Elliott/File Photo
A staff member prepares tables before the business opens at a Japanese restaurant in Beijing, China September 7, 2023. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File photo
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Workers are reflected in an office building's windows in Sydney's Barangaroo business district in Australia's largest city, May 8, 2017.  REUTERS/Jason Reed//File Photo

Overview

  • The NAB business conditions index fell to +2 in April, significantly below the long-term average, signaling subdued activity.
  • Profitability dropped sharply to -4 as rising input costs continued to pressure business margins across sectors.
  • Business confidence inched up slightly but remained weak at -1, reflecting ongoing caution among Australian firms.
  • Capital spending intentions fell to a below-average +1, with companies delaying investments amid global trade uncertainty.
  • Markets are increasingly betting on a Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut on May 20 to help stabilize sentiment and support growth.