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Australian Business Conditions Rebound in December as Capacity Stays Tight

Firmer sales, stronger profits, rising price signals intensify scrutiny of an RBA rate move ahead of this week’s inflation data.

Overview

  • NAB’s business conditions index rose two points to +9 in December as sales climbed to +16, profits to +7, and employment held at +4.
  • Capacity utilisation eased 0.3 percentage points to 83.2% but remained elevated and broad-based across industries, NAB’s Sally Auld said.
  • Measures of prices ticked higher over the three months to December, indicating modestly firmer cost pressures.
  • Business confidence edged up to +3, with retail and manufacturing improving and services showing the strongest trend activity.
  • Markets are watching the RBA’s meeting next week for a possible move from the 3.6% cash rate, with Wednesday’s inflation print seen as pivotal and recent minutes highlighting concern about capacity constraints.