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Australian Business Conditions Hold at +8 as Confidence Rises to +7

The results align with steady policy settings at 3.60% given lingering inflation risk.

People cross a bridge near the Sydney Tower Eye in the Central Business District (CBD), Sydney, Australia, July 9, 2025. REUTERS/Hollie Adams

Overview

  • NAB’s September survey showed the conditions index unchanged at +8, while business confidence rose three points to +7, above the long-run average.
  • Sales strengthened by three points to +16 and profitability edged up to +6, extending an 11-point gain since May.
  • The employment sub-index weakened and forward orders fell three points into negative territory, pointing to softer near-term demand.
  • Price signals were mixed, with input costs slightly higher, quarterly retail price growth at 0.7%, and labour cost growth easing to 1.5%.
  • The RBA held the cash rate at 3.60% as it flagged potential Q3 inflation upside, and NAB’s Sally Auld said conditions and confidence are consolidating just above average levels.