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Australia to Face Warmer Winter with Increased Rainfall in Late Season

A swing to a 'wet phase' Indian Ocean Dipole is forecast to drive wetter conditions across central and northern regions from July to September

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The Bureau of Meteorology has published its long-range forecast for the June to August period.
A composit image of an aerial of a flooded landscape and an image of dry landcape with a lone tree.

Overview

  • The Bureau of Meteorology predicts above-average day and nighttime temperatures nationwide this winter.
  • June and July rainfall is expected to hover near normal for most populated areas, with drier pockets in southern Victoria, south-west Western Australia and Tasmania.
  • From July to September, large parts of northern and central Australia are favoured to receive above-average rainfall as the Indian Ocean Dipole shifts into its wet phase.
  • The Australian and New Zealand Council for Fire and Emergency Services has warned of an unseasonal winter bushfire risk in drought-stricken parts of South Australia and Victoria.
  • Agronomist Martin Colbert says drought-hit western Victoria needs immediate above-average winter rain to support crop germination and recovery.