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Australia Avoids Recession Thanks to Record Government Spending

Weak private sector performance is offset by public investment, but questions remain over long-term economic sustainability.

  • Government spending has been the primary driver of Australia's economic growth, preventing a technical recession despite a shrinking private sector.
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates steady, citing a strong labor market, but its aggressive rate hikes have weakened household consumption and disposable income.
  • GDP growth for the September quarter was a modest 0.3%, with annual growth at 0.8%, well below historical averages and reflecting a sluggish economy.
  • Economic debate intensifies ahead of next year's federal election, with the Coalition advocating for reduced public spending and Labor defending its investment in public services and infrastructure.
  • Critics argue that RBA policies have underestimated the economic strain on households, while government spending has kept nearly 100,000 people employed who might otherwise be jobless.
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