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Aurora Forecast: Northern Lights Could Reach 18 U.S. States Monday Night as CME Arrives

A coronal mass ejection from August 30 is expected to drive a Kp near 6, with exact timing available in NOAA’s 30-minute updates.

Overview

  • NOAA’s three-day outlook calls for G2 geomagnetic storming Monday with a chance of G3 on Tuesday as the CME reaches Earth.
  • Viewing could extend unusually far south, with chances as low as central Iowa and northern Illinois across roughly 18 northern states.
  • Best prospects are after dark Monday into early Tuesday, especially between about 10 p.m. and 2 a.m. in dark, north-facing locations.
  • States with elevated odds include Alaska and parts of the Pacific Northwest, Northern Plains, Upper Midwest, and the Northeast near the Canadian border.
  • Short-term intensity and arrival are only predictable about 30 minutes ahead via DSCOVR and ACE data, and minor effects to radio and satellites are possible.