Overview
- Carlos Alcaraz clinched the 2025 year-end top ranking by defeating Lorenzo Musetti 6-4, 6-1 in round-robin play and will finish No. 1 regardless of his semifinal result.
- Jannik Sinner completed a 3-0 group stage by beating Ben Shelton 6-3, 7-6(3), extending his indoor winning streak to 29 matches.
- Saturday’s semifinals pair Sinner against Alex de Minaur and Alcaraz against Félix Auger-Aliassime, with the Italian and the Spaniard widely expected to advance.
- Market prices at publication showed Sinner heavily favored over de Minaur (about 1.05 vs 8.00) and Alcaraz favored over Auger-Aliassime (about 1.17 vs 4.50).
- Betting previews highlighted Sinner’s 12-1 head-to-head edge over de Minaur and suggested value on Sinner -5.5 games and Auger-Aliassime +4.5 games handicaps.