Overview

• With the climatological peak on September 10, the National Hurricane Center projects no Atlantic tropical cyclone activity for the next seven days.
• Colorado State University attributes the lull to a dry, stable tropical Atlantic, Saharan dust, tropical upper‑tropospheric troughs and weak African easterly waves.
• CSU and other guidance indicate the next 7–10 days likely stay unfavorable, then wind shear may ease later in September, raising the odds for renewed development.
• Model signals for late‑month formation in the western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico remain speculative beyond reliable forecast ranges.
• So far the season has produced six named storms and one hurricane (Erin), and if the quiet persists this would be the latest into September without a new storm since 1992, according to the National Weather Service.