Overview

• NOAA’s updated outlook still calls for an above‑normal season with 13–18 named storms, 5–9 hurricanes and 2–5 major hurricanes.
• The most active stretch historically runs from mid‑August to mid‑October, with a statistical high point around September 10.
• AccuWeather’s Alex DaSilva flags a high chance of development off West Africa late this week, noting dry air could slow early growth before any quick strengthening.
• Yucatán’s civil protection agency has increased monitoring, urged residents to follow official alerts and projected 2–4 additional tropical storms, 3–4 Category 1–2 hurricanes and 2–3 major hurricanes through the remainder of the season.
• Mexico’s naval meteorology office reiterates the season runs through November, while Eastern Pacific Hurricane Lorena became the seventh named system as agencies review alert protocols and Saffir–Simpson categories.