Overview
- The International Energy Agency’s latest analysis finds every pathway it assessed temporarily exceeds 1.5°C around 2030.
- At a leaders’ session in Belém, António Guterres said a temporary overshoot in the early 2030s cannot be avoided.
- UNFCCC chief Simon Stiell cited measurable progress, including national actions and growth in decarbonization markets, yet warned that major work remains.
- Negotiators are weighing contingency or second‑best policies within the Paris framework that requires all countries to set and implement targets.
- A 30‑country Ipsos poll finds 49% view COP meetings as mostly symbolic, compared with 34% who expect concrete results.