Asteroid 2024 YR4's Risk of Earth Impact in 2032 Increases to Over 2%

Astronomers are closely monitoring the asteroid, which poses a localized threat, while refining its trajectory and size estimates.

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2024, has a 2.2-2.3% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, according to NASA and ESA estimates.
The asteroid, measuring between 40 and 90 meters in diameter, could cause significant localized destruction if it strikes a populated area.
Scientists are using advanced tools like the James Webb Space Telescope to refine size and trajectory estimates before the asteroid fades from view in May 2025.
Current risk calculations place 2024 YR4 at Level 3 on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, a rare designation for objects of this size.
Global efforts, including potential planetary defense measures, are being coordinated to address the asteroid's risk, with further updates expected after its next close approach in 2028.