Asteroid 2024 YR4's Risk of Earth Impact Drops, but Monitoring Continues
NASA updates predictions, lowering the asteroid's impact probability while outlining potential deflection strategies if needed.
- Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2024, currently has a 0.28% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, down from a high of 3.1%.
- Measuring 40-90 meters wide, the asteroid is classified as a 'city-killer,' with the potential to cause significant destruction if it hits a populated area.
- NASA and other agencies are monitoring the asteroid's orbit, with experts expecting the risk level to drop to zero as more data is gathered.
- Potential planetary defense strategies include spacecraft impact tests, gravity tractors, ion beams, and nuclear explosions, though the latter is considered a last resort.
- If deflection fails, experts emphasize that evacuation and preparation plans could mitigate the impact, with over seven years available for planning.