Overview

• Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2024, no longer poses a threat to Earth, with a near-zero chance of impact in 2032.
• Recent observations by the James Webb Space Telescope estimate the asteroid's size at 60 meters and confirm a 2% chance of a Moon collision.
• A potential lunar impact could release energy equivalent to 8 megatons, comparable to the Tunguska event of 1908.
• Scientists view the possible Moon collision as a rare opportunity to study the formation of a lunar crater in real-time.
• Further observations using the James Webb Space Telescope are planned for May 2025 to refine the asteroid's trajectory and impact probabilities.