Asteroid 2024 YR4 Poses Small Impact Risk for Earth in 2032

The newly discovered asteroid has a 1.3% chance of hitting Earth, prompting global monitoring and potential deflection planning.

Asteroid 2024 YR4, measuring between 40 and 100 meters wide, has been classified as a Level 3 threat on the Torino Scale, indicating a notable but low impact probability.
The asteroid could potentially impact Earth on December 22, 2032, with a 1.3% chance of collision, though further observations are expected to refine this risk.
If an impact occurs, it could release energy comparable to the Tunguska event of 1908, causing localized devastation over a wide area.
Global planetary defense groups, including the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN) and the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group (SMPAG), are coordinating observations and evaluating possible mitigation strategies, such as deflection missions.
The asteroid will be observable until April 2025 and again in 2028, providing opportunities for astronomers to refine its trajectory and impact probability.