Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Poses 2.3% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

The asteroid, measuring up to 300 feet wide, could cause city-wide destruction if it strikes, but scientists emphasize the low probability of impact.

Overview

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4, traveling at 38,000 mph, has a 2.3% chance of hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, according to NASA estimates.
  • The potential impact zone, known as the 'risk corridor,' spans regions including the eastern Pacific, northern South America, Africa, the Arabian Sea, and South Asia.
  • If it hits Earth, the asteroid could release energy equivalent to 500 Hiroshima bombs, potentially causing localized destruction or tsunamis depending on the impact site.
  • Astronomers are monitoring the asteroid closely, with plans for further observations during its next approach in 2028 to refine its trajectory and risk assessment.
  • There is also a 0.3% chance of the asteroid striking the Moon, which would create a visible explosion but pose no direct threat to Earth.