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Asteroid 2024 YR4 Poses 1-in-83 Risk of Earth Impact in 2032

Astronomers are closely monitoring the 180-foot-wide asteroid, which could cause significant localized destruction if it strikes Earth.

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in late December 2024, currently has a 1.2% chance of colliding with Earth on December 22, 2032.
  • The asteroid, which is 180 feet wide, has been rated Level 3 on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, the highest level for any known object at present.
  • If it impacts Earth, the asteroid could release energy equivalent to 8 megatons of TNT, similar to the 1908 Tunguska Event in Siberia.
  • Astronomical organizations, including NASA and the European Space Agency, are conducting follow-up observations to refine the asteroid's trajectory and impact probability.
  • International asteroid response groups are preparing to assess potential mitigation strategies, though further observations may rule out the likelihood of a collision.
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