Asteroid 2024 YR4 No Longer Threatens Earth, But Risk to Moon Persists

New observations have reduced the asteroid's Earth impact probability to near zero, but its chances of striking the Moon in 2032 have increased.

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially flagged as a potential threat to Earth, now has a 0.001% chance of impact, effectively eliminating the risk for the next century.
The asteroid's initial impact probability reached a record 3% earlier this month before being downgraded to zero on the Torino scale after further observations.
Measuring between 40 and 90 meters wide, the asteroid could have caused significant damage had it collided with Earth, potentially devastating a city.
While the threat to Earth has been ruled out, the probability of the asteroid striking the Moon around December 2032 has increased to 1.7%.
The asteroid remains under close observation, with NASA's James Webb Space Telescope scheduled to monitor it in March for further trajectory and size analysis.