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Asteroid 2024 YR4 No Longer Poses a Threat to Earth

NASA and ESA confirm the asteroid's impact probability has dropped to near-zero, but a minor risk to the Moon remains.

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially believed to have a small chance of striking Earth in 2032, now has an impact probability of just 0.001%, according to NASA and ESA.
  • The asteroid, measuring between 130 and 300 feet in diameter, was discovered in December 2024 by the ATLAS telescope system.
  • While Earth's risk has been ruled out, the Moon still has a 1.7% chance of being impacted, which could create a visible crater but poses no significant threat to Earth.
  • NASA plans to use the James Webb Space Telescope next month to gather more data on 2024 YR4 before it becomes unobservable for several years.
  • This event highlights ongoing advancements in planetary defense, with NASA's DART mission serving as a proof of concept for asteroid redirection strategies.
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