Asteroid 2024 YR4 No Longer Poses a Threat to Earth
NASA and ESA confirm the asteroid's impact probability has dropped to near-zero, but a minor risk to the Moon remains.
- Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially believed to have a small chance of striking Earth in 2032, now has an impact probability of just 0.001%, according to NASA and ESA.
- The asteroid, measuring between 130 and 300 feet in diameter, was discovered in December 2024 by the ATLAS telescope system.
- While Earth's risk has been ruled out, the Moon still has a 1.7% chance of being impacted, which could create a visible crater but poses no significant threat to Earth.
- NASA plans to use the James Webb Space Telescope next month to gather more data on 2024 YR4 before it becomes unobservable for several years.
- This event highlights ongoing advancements in planetary defense, with NASA's DART mission serving as a proof of concept for asteroid redirection strategies.