Overview

• Asteroid 2024 YR4, estimated to be between 130 and 300 feet in size, has a 2.3% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, according to NASA's latest calculations.
• The asteroid's risk level is currently rated 3 on the Torino Scale, making it the highest-rated potential threat since Apophis in 2004, though the probability is expected to decrease with further data.
• Global agencies, including NASA and the European Space Agency, are utilizing ground-based and space telescopes to refine the asteroid's trajectory and assess its potential threat.
• If the risk persists, planetary defense strategies, such as deflection missions similar to NASA’s DART test, may be considered by international organizations like the UN-backed Space Mission Planning Advisory Group.
• Possible impact locations span the eastern Pacific, northern South America, the Atlantic, Africa, the Arabian Sea, and South Asia, though there remains a 97.7% chance that the asteroid will not strike Earth.