Asteroid 2024 YR4 Monitored for Potential Earth Impact in 2032

NASA and global agencies are tracking the asteroid as its impact probability fluctuates, with further observations expected to refine its trajectory.

Asteroid 2024 YR4, estimated to be between 130 and 300 feet in size, has a 2.3% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, according to NASA's latest calculations.
The asteroid's risk level is currently rated 3 on the Torino Scale, making it the highest-rated potential threat since Apophis in 2004, though the probability is expected to decrease with further data.
Global agencies, including NASA and the European Space Agency, are utilizing ground-based and space telescopes to refine the asteroid's trajectory and assess its potential threat.
If the risk persists, planetary defense strategies, such as deflection missions similar to NASA’s DART test, may be considered by international organizations like the UN-backed Space Mission Planning Advisory Group.
Possible impact locations span the eastern Pacific, northern South America, the Atlantic, Africa, the Arabian Sea, and South Asia, though there remains a 97.7% chance that the asteroid will not strike Earth.