Asteroid 2024 YR4 Has 1.2% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

The asteroid, approximately 40 to 100 meters wide, is being closely monitored by international space agencies for its potential regional threat.

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2024, has a 1.2% chance of colliding with Earth on December 22, 2032.
The asteroid is categorized as a Level 3 threat on the Torino Scale, warranting attention but not immediate concern for global catastrophe.
If it impacts Earth, the asteroid could cause localized devastation equivalent to eight megatons of TNT, with significant risks to urban areas or coastal regions.
NASA and ESA-led groups, including the International Asteroid Warning Network and Space Mission Planning Advisory Group, are tracking its trajectory and planning potential mitigation strategies.
Astronomers expect further observations to refine its orbit and likely reduce the impact probability, with the next key tracking opportunity anticipated in 2028.