Asteroid 2024 YR4 Could Approach Earth in 2032 with Low Impact Risk

Astronomers estimate a 1.4% chance of collision, with the asteroid likely to pass safely by the planet.

Asteroid 2024 YR4, measuring between 40 and 90 meters in diameter, was discovered in December 2024 and is currently classified as a Level 3 threat on the Torino Scale.
The asteroid's calculated impact probability is approximately 1.4%, making it one of the higher risks recorded for an object of its size, though still unlikely to collide with Earth.
If an impact occurred, it could release energy equivalent to eight megatons of TNT, causing regional damage but not posing a global threat.
Astronomers anticipate more precise tracking data in 2028, which could reduce the risk probability to near zero.
The potential risk corridor spans from the Pacific Ocean through parts of Africa to South Asia, with public agencies monitoring developments closely.