Overview
- People’s Pulse projects the BJP at 69–74 seats and the NDA near 90 in the 126-member Assembly, with estimated vote shares of BJP ~39% and Congress ~37%.
- Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma cautioned that surveys are premature, signalled clarity on alliances by February, and said delimitation raises the NDA’s strong-contest seats to about 103.
- Congress state chief Gaurav Gogoi’s declaration to field candidates in over 100 seats has unsettled prospective allies, with opposition seat-sharing still unresolved and AIUDF excluded from the proposed bloc.
- AGP MLA Ponakan Baruah said the party seeks at least one seat in every district and flagged concerns about AGP workers being sidelined in BJP-held constituencies.
- The poll’s chief ministerial preference shows a close race: Himanta Biswa Sarma at 30%, Sarbananda Sonowal at 28% and Gaurav Gogoi at 27%.