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ASML Surges to $500 Billion as Analysts Lift Targets on AI-Fueled Chip Spending

New big-bank targets following TSMC's larger 2026 budget reinforce expectations for stronger EUV demand.

Overview

  • Morgan Stanley named ASML a top pick with a €1,400 base case and a €2,000 bull case, projecting earnings near €46 per share in 2027.
  • RBC initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and a $1,550 target, citing sustained AI, high-bandwidth memory and advanced-node investment as tailwinds.
  • TSMC raised its 2026 capital expenditure to $52–$56 billion, signaling greater demand for ASML’s advanced lithography tools.
  • ASML shares have gained about 25% year to date, hit a 52-week record, and pushed the company’s market value past $500 billion.
  • Analysts anticipate robust order intake in the coming quarters as ASML’s exclusive EUV systems underpin leading-edge chip production, with Q4 results due Jan. 28.