Overview
- Hayes predicts a 2026 Bitcoin rally tied to an expansion of dollar liquidity and frames price action as a monetary story.
- He cites the Federal Reserve’s balance-sheet growth, a turn higher in bank lending in Q4 2025, a reported JPMorgan $1.5 trillion lending push, and a reported directive for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy $200 billion in mortgages as potential catalysts.
- He discloses heavy personal exposure via leveraged Bitcoin proxies, saying he bought MicroStrategy and Metaplanet and is nearly fully invested.
- Bitcoin fell about 14% in 2025 while tech stocks advanced, a divergence Hayes links to AI-focused policy support for technology and central-bank demand that buoyed gold.
- Fresh inflation data this week helped lift crypto prices, with Bitcoin nearing $97,000 on a roughly 5% daily gain, a move consistent with a looser-liquidity setup Hayes highlights.