Overview
- Arsenal hold a four-point lead after 11 matches, supported by the league’s best expected-goals difference and an elite defensive record.
- Manchester City’s 3-0 win over Liverpool narrowed the gap to four points and reinforced their status as the main challengers under Pep Guardiola.
- Model projections cited by analysts showed Arsenal’s title probability dipping only slightly over the weekend, with City’s chances rising and Liverpool’s falling.
- Liverpool’s run of five defeats in six has left the holders eight points off the summit, with Arne Slot and Andy Robertson stressing the need to stabilise results before talking about the title.
- Pundits are split between numbers and know-how, as Paul Scholes backs City’s experience while others note Arsenal’s added depth and a striking 53% home-win rate shaping results this season.