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Arsenal Stay Four Clear as Data Models Keep Them Favourites After Pivotal Weekend

Manchester City rose in title odds following a 3-0 defeat of Liverpool, whose slump now includes a formal query over a disallowed goal.

Overview

  • Brian Brobbey’s 94th-minute finish earned Sunderland a 2-2 draw with Arsenal at the Stadium of Light.
  • Manchester City’s 3-0 win over Liverpool at the Etihad cut Arsenal’s lead to four points after 11 matches.
  • Updated simulations from Cannon Stats moved Arsenal to about 76% for the title, lifted City into the high teens, and dropped Liverpool to low single figures.
  • Liverpool have lost five league games and sit eight points off top, and the club has asked PGMOL to review Virgil van Dijk’s disallowed header from Sunday.
  • Arsenal still post the league’s strongest underlying numbers, including the best xG difference and only five goals conceded, as pundits such as Paul Scholes tip City’s experience to tell.