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Arsenal Restore Five-Point Gap as Set-Piece Boom Recasts Title and Top-Four Races

Set-piece potency and shifting form are resetting probabilities before a busy midweek.

Overview

  • Arsenal beat Chelsea 2-1 with two corner goals to move five points clear and equal the Premier League single‑season record of 16 goals from corners, with Manchester City five back and holding a game in hand.
  • Manchester United have risen to third under caretaker Michael Carrick with a seven‑match unbeaten run, while Aston Villa’s slump and Chelsea’s setback tighten the pursuit of Champions League places.
  • Liverpool have six wins in seven across competitions and can move fourth with victory at Wolves, buoyed by a recent surge in goals from set pieces including three from corners in a 5-2 win over West Ham.
  • With England leading UEFA’s coefficient, fifth place is likely to secure Champions League qualification, and updated models now lean toward Villa, United and Liverpool, with Chelsea’s chances falling to roughly 15% in some projections.
  • The league’s growing share of set-piece goals has drawn criticism from Liverpool’s Arne Slot and a call to adapt from Pep Guardiola, as Wolves’ faint revival still leaves them 14 points from safety with Opta rating relegation at 99.98%.