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Arm Stock Rebounds After Post-Earnings Slide as Licensing Miss Tempers Record Royalties

Management lifted the outlook to about $1.47 billion next quarter, signaling confidence despite investor focus on a licensing shortfall.

Overview

  • Fiscal Q3 revenue reached about $1.24 billion with adjusted EPS of $0.43, both above consensus.
  • Royalty revenue set a record at $737 million, up 27% year over year, tied to AI computing across data centers, smartphones, and edge devices.
  • Licensing revenue came in at $505 million versus roughly $520 million expected, renewing questions about the pace of future design wins.
  • Shares dropped roughly 7%–10% in after-hours trading as Qualcomm flagged a memory shortage that could pressure smartphone units, a key royalty driver.
  • The stock later climbed about 5% on Thursday as several analysts played down near-term smartphone demand risks and highlighted adoption of Armv9 and CSS technologies.