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Arm Shifts From Licensing to Chip Development as Shares Slide on Soft Guidance

Investor sell-off followed the strategic shift into in-house modular chiplets plus full solutions accompanied by cautious Q2 profit guidance

Overview

  • Arm confirmed plans to design and potentially build its own modular chiplets and end-to-end solutions, marking a departure from its traditional IP licensing business model
  • The company forecast fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings per share of $0.29 to $0.37, below analysts’ $0.36 estimate, and projected revenue between $1.01 billion and $1.11 billion
  • Shares tumbled over 7% in premarket trading as investors fretted that increased R&D spending would weigh on near-term profitability
  • Arm is ramping up R&D spending and hiring engineers from its licensees to support in-house chip development, putting it in direct competition with customers such as Nvidia
  • Global trade tensions and U.S. tariffs threaten smartphone demand, strengthening Arm’s drive to diversify royalty growth into AI and data center markets