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ARK’s 2026 Outlook Casts Bitcoin as a Core Diversification Tool

The firm cites a protocol-driven supply schedule that enforces scarcity.

Overview

  • ARK’s analysis of weekly returns from January 2020 to early January 2026 reports correlations of 0.14 with gold, 0.06 with bonds, and 0.28 with the S&P 500.
  • The report projects new Bitcoin issuance near 0.8% annually for the next two years before slowing to roughly 0.4%.
  • ARK attributes an approximately 360% price increase since late 2022 to predictable supply combined with rising demand.
  • The outlook says these dynamics could move Bitcoin toward a more central role in both retail and institutional portfolios.
  • Cathie Wood frames the investment case within expectations for a U.S. rebound and productivity gains from AI, robotics, energy storage, blockchain, and multiomics.