Overview

• Voters in southern Arizona are choosing a successor to the late Rep. Raúl Grijalva in Tuesday’s special election, with Democrat Adelita Grijalva facing Republican Daniel Butierez and two third-party candidates.
• The majority-Hispanic district leans heavily Democratic with nearly a 2-to-1 registration edge, and Adelita Grijalva enters as the favorite after winning her primary with about 62% and out-raising her opponent.
• Both major-party candidates have said they will sign the bipartisan discharge petition on the Epstein files, which had 217 signatures before the election.
• A Democratic pickup would further narrow Republicans’ 219–213 House advantage, and the winner could be sworn in quickly to serve the remaining roughly 15 months of the term.
• Reaching 218 signatures would start a minimum seven-legislative-day clock before proponents can force a vote, suggesting consideration could come in mid-October once the House returns.