Overview

• Hobbs announced her campaign on Oct. 8 with a video touting tax cuts, lower childcare costs, a balanced budget and a National Guard deployment to address border issues.
• As the presumptive Democratic nominee, she is set to face Republicans Karrin Taylor Robson, Rep. Andy Biggs and Rep. David Schweikert, with Trump endorsing Robson and Biggs.
• The Republican primary is scheduled for Aug. 4, 2026, setting up a long contest in a closely divided state.
• Hobbs is elevating her 2025 border and drug-interdiction task force, which drew public praise attributed to Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem.
• Independent analysts rate the race a toss-up, and Hobbs is contrasting her record and vetoes—including blocking a bill mandating local cooperation with federal immigration enforcement—with GOP positions and a Trump-backed budget she says harms families.