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Argentine Peso Nears FX Band Ceiling as Central Bank Sells to Hold the Line

Pre‑electoral dollarization tied to recent provincial results is stoking pressure across markets.

Overview

  • The wholesale rate jumped about ARS 98 on the week to close near ARS 1,453, leaving it roughly ARS 19 below the ARS 1,472 upper band.
  • Market sources said the Central Bank appeared with USD 10 million block offers at ARS 1,472 to cap the move, in line with IMF band‑defense rules.
  • Argentine stocks and sovereign bonds fell, with the S&P Merval down around 2%–2.5% and country risk reported near 1,047 basis points as bonds slid.
  • Financial and parallel dollars firmed as MEP hovered near ARS 1,468, CCL around ARS 1,481, blue at ARS 1,425, and USDT quotes near ARS 1,479 on Sunday signaled persistent demand.
  • Officials reiterated the exchange framework and fiscal anchor remain unchanged; Bausili noted a temporary monetary squeeze, Caputo stressed no policy shift, reserves stood near USD 40.36 billion, and the Treasury had not sold FX during the week.