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Argentina’s Peso Rallies as Official Dollar Drops to 1,369 on U.S. Backing and Tax Holiday

Investors await concrete terms of the assistance and the speed of farm dollar liquidations after the temporary suspension of export duties through October.

Overview

  • Argentina’s wholesale exchange rate closed near 1,369 pesos after touching 1,350 intraday, reversing last week’s spike and marking levels below the pre‑election period.
  • Country risk retreated toward roughly 1,000 basis points as sovereign bonds and several ADRs extended gains, while dollar futures fell up to about 5.7–6%.
  • The government set export duties at 0% for grains, oilseeds and select meats until October 31 to accelerate FX inflows, though early grain liquidations were modest at about US$21 million on Monday against an official goal reported at up to US$7 billion.
  • U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent publicly signaled readiness to support Argentina within the department’s mandate, and the World Bank said it would accelerate disbursements of up to US$4 billion.
  • Markets see short‑term relief but flag fiscal costs from foregone duties, low reserves and heavy maturities, with futures still implying depreciation by year‑end as details of external support are finalized.