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Argentina’s Peso Jumps as Grain Export Taxes Are Scrapped and U.S. Signals Support

A public backing pledge from the U.S. Treasury together with a temporary suspension of grain export duties spurred fresh dollar supply and a rapid market rebound.

Overview

  • The official dollar at Banco Nación fell to about $1,470 for sale from $1,515, and the wholesale rate slid below the band ceiling of $1,476.79 after briefly breaching it last week.
  • Parallel and financial rates retreated, with the blue near $1,475–$1,480 and MEP/CCL easing into the roughly $1,425–$1,473 range.
  • Sovereign bonds rallied as much as 10%–12% and the country risk index dropped roughly 300 points from last week’s peak, with ADRs and the local equity benchmark posting strong gains.
  • The government’s decree temporarily cut grain export taxes to zero until late October or until about US$7 billion is liquidated, requiring at least 90% of proceeds to be sold within three business days.
  • The BCRA had defended the band by selling about US$1.11 billion over three sessions, including US$678 million on Friday, leaving reported gross reserves near US$39.26 billion.