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Argentina’s Pampas Rebound After July Deluge but Pest and Drought Risks Remain

Experts caution that chicharrita infestations in northern provinces alongside localized water deficits threaten to disrupt the early promise of a 20 Mt wheat crop.

Overview

  • Seventy-three percent of the región pampeana has received 50–300 mm above historical rainfall, fully recharging soil moisture across the agricultural core.
  • Wheat sowing reached 6.9 million hectares—matching the 2021/22 record—with 80–93% of fields rated very good to excellent and a BCR projection near 20 million tonnes.
  • Central-belt farmers intend to increase maize area by 15–20% for 2025/26, driven by substantial moisture reserves and softer soybean margins.
  • Trap counts for the leafhopper chicharrita have exceeded 300 insects in parts of Chaco and Santiago del Estero, where area cuts of about 40,000–60,000 hectares highlight lingering vulnerability.
  • High input and freight costs combined with tight crop margins are prompting some northern producers to favor sunflower and cotton over maize.