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Argentina’s Official Poverty Rate Falls as Child Poverty Stays High and Methods Face Scrutiny

Independent observatories question the scale of the decline, citing outdated poverty baskets and income survey changes.

Overview

  • INDEC reports national poverty at 31.6% in the first half of 2025, down from 52.9% a year earlier, with average household income up 26.3% versus a 13% rise in basic baskets.
  • Official data for the second half of 2025 show 45.4% of children aged 0–14 living in poverty, with the highest incidence among adolescents.
  • UCA’s child observatory highlights structural deficits, noting 62.5% of minors in urban areas live in unsafe neighborhoods, 35.4% in homes with serious infrastructure shortcomings, and 25% without adequate sanitation.
  • UCA and other analysts say the reported drop is overrepresented because INDEC still uses 2004/05 consumption baskets and altered income questionnaires, with local reports also citing internal doubts at the agency.
  • An alternative estimate by Equilibra places poverty at 43.3% for October 2024–March 2025 after updating the basket and adjusting for underreported incomes.