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Argentina’s Official Peso Reclaims 1,300 as Short‑Term Rates Whipsaw

A sweeping liquidity squeeze is narrowing the blue–official gap.

La cotización del dólar, en la cobertura minuto a minuto de Clarín.
El dólar volvió a subir hoy
Image
Se frenó la caída del dólar

Overview

  • The wholesale rate closed near $1,315 and the retail average around $1,325, while the blue held at roughly $1,340, compressing spreads to about 1%–3.7%.
  • One‑day cauciones saw extreme swings, spiking to about 150% intraday on Wednesday before closing near 70% and easing to roughly 51.5% on Thursday.
  • Authorities tightened pesos further by raising reserve requirements on sight deposits to around 45%, shifting to daily encaje calculations, allowing integration with new public debt, and running ad‑hoc tenders to absorb liquidity.
  • Futures pricing moved higher, with markets implying a wholesale rate near $1,318–$1,332 by end‑August and around $1,505–$1,534 by December.
  • Gross reserves rose after an IMF disbursement of about US$1.993 billion, with reported BCRA stock near US$41.5–US$43.0 billion depending on the measure.