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Argentina’s August Inflation Seen Near 2% as Spain’s Rate Holds at 2.7%

Argentina faces September hikes across tariffs, fares, fuel taxes, rents, and school fees, ahead of INDEC’s 10 September release of the August CPI.

Overview

  • Private trackers in Argentina converge on roughly 2% monthly inflation for August, broadly in line with July’s 1.9%.
  • Food prices led the move with gains near 2.3%–2.5% after early‑month FX volatility, while the government argues pass‑through from July’s exchange‑rate spike was limited.
  • Fuel taxes will rise under Decree 617/2025 from 1 September with a second phase from 1 October, directly affecting pump prices.
  • September brings scheduled increases to prepaid health plans (about 1.4%–1.9%), bus fares in CABA and PBA (+3.9%) and subte tickets, private school fees (up to 3.2%), utilities with monthly adjustments, and rent updates of 50.3% under the ICL.
  • Spain’s flash data show August inflation at 2.7% year on year with a 0.0% monthly change and core at 2.4%, helped by lower food prices and milder electricity effects.