Overview
- Export declarations for grains and byproducts reached 64.5 Mt in the first half of 2025, the highest such total for a January–June period and second only to late 2019.
- Soybean complexes accounted for 48% of first-half commitments, with 31.1 Mt registered—61% in subproducts, 24% in beans and 14% in oil.
- Maize exports climbed to 22.76 Mt, up 67% year-on-year and 61% above the 2019–24 first-half average, led by Cargill’s 4.5 Mt.
- Cargill, Viterra and COFCO together registered 25.1 Mt, representing roughly 40% of total commitments and underscoring high market concentration.
- With the duty reduction expired in June, the sector’s medium-term outlook will depend on infrastructure upgrades, currency exchange gaps and future tariff policy.