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Argentina’s 2025 Tax Revenue Up 39.4% Nominal as Real Gains Erode Late in the Year

Late-2025 reductions in PAIS and export retentions left real revenue little changed for the year.

Overview

  • ARCA reported total 2025 tax collections of about $183.1 trillion, a 39.4% year-over-year nominal increase versus 2024.
  • December revenue reached roughly $16.53 trillion, up 27% nominal but about 3% lower in real terms, marking a fifth straight real decline.
  • IARAF’s Nadin Argañaraz estimates an overall 1% real drop for 2025, turning into a 4.5% real rise if trade-related taxes are excluded after the PAIS removal and lower export retentions.
  • ARCA noted that extraordinary inflows in 2024 distorted comparisons and said 2025’s nominal variation would have been near 50% without those one-offs.
  • Revenue growth was concentrated in VAT, income tax and social security, while export duties slumped sharply and import duties showed one of the few real gains.