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Argentina's 2025 Inflation Falls to 31.5% as Government Hails Disinflation Milestone

Analysts caution that a December uptick plus an INDEC CPI methodology switch from January 2026 could lift reported inflation.

Overview

  • INDEC reported a 2.8% monthly rise in December, the highest since April, bringing the year to 31.5%, the lowest annual rate since 2017.
  • President Javier Milei and Economy Minister Luis Caputo credited fiscal surplus, tight money, and Central Bank recapitalization under a floating exchange rate for the disinflation.
  • December’s increase extended roughly seven months of gradual acceleration, raising doubts about how easily the disinflation trend can be sustained.
  • Transport led December gains at 4%, with housing and utilities around 3.4% and food and beverages showing strong incidence in the overall index.
  • INDEC will introduce a new CPI methodology starting with January 2026 data, a change economists say could lift measured inflation and influence the ceiling of the policy-linked exchange-rate band.