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Argentina’s 2025 Agro Exports Pegged at $31.56 Billion as Sept–Dec Total $10.15 Billion

Late‑year cash inflows are expected to lag shipment values due to duty changes that pulled forward sales in June.

Overview

  • BCR projects US$10.154 billion in grain and byproduct shipments for September–December and US$31.564 billion for all of 2025.
  • Export volumes are forecast at 97.5 million tonnes for 2025, up 7.8 million tonnes from last year despite softer prices.
  • Private estimates put Sept–Dec agro dollar liquidations at about US$9.949 billion, roughly 3% below a year ago because many sales were advanced earlier.
  • August export-sale registrations collapsed to about 3.1 million tonnes after the temporary mid‑year cut to export duties spurred advance declarations.
  • The soybean complex leads with strong flows—8.4 Mt of beans sold abroad including heavy Chinese purchases, plus robust oil and steady meal exports—while corn registrations have stalled at 22.2 Mt with just 0.31 Mt added in August and wheat showed more momentum with 1.2 Mt registered in the month.