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Argentina Rolls Over 114% of Peso Debt as Dollars Slip and Market Risk Stays High

Tighter encajes channel bank demand to short-term Treasury paper, containing the peso supply at the expense of higher risk and choppy assets.

Overview

  • Treasury data show $7.667 trillion awarded and a 114.66% rollover, with short-dated Lecap paying up to a 75.7% effective annual rate and strong take-up of TAMAR notes.
  • After a late-session reversal that traders attributed to presumed BCRA futures action, the Banco Nación rate eased to about $1,355–$1,360 and the blue hovered near $1,350 as MEP and CCL ticked lower.
  • J.P. Morgan’s country risk gauge is around 850 basis points, with sovereign dollar bonds trading mixed following recent pressure.
  • Equities bounced after sharp losses, with the S&P Merval up roughly 3% in pesos and Argentine ADRs rebounding up to 8% following an 11‑month low in dollar terms the previous day.
  • Higher reserve requirements near 53.5% steered banks into government peso instruments, tightening liquidity and aiding the auction rollover ahead of the Buenos Aires provincial vote and October’s national elections.