Overview

• The Swedish Academy will reveal the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature on Thursday morning, with the decision kept confidential until the announcement.
• Readers and organizers plan a public “vigilia aireana” on Wednesday evening in Buenos Aires’ Flores neighborhood, inviting attendees to bring Aira’s books for a playful, anti-jinx tribute.
• Betting markets diverge on favorites, with platforms variously listing Haruki Murakami, Mircea Cărtărescu, Can Xue and Gerald Murnane at or near the top and treating odds as public sentiment rather than inside information.
• Betsson includes two Argentine names among its contenders, placing César Aira and Samanta Schweblin on the board with long odds behind leaders such as Murnane, László Krasznahorkai and Cristina Rivera Garza.
• Local institutions have prepared contingencies around a possible Aira win, including a planned press event at the Museo del Barrio de Flores, as commentary revisits Latin America’s sparse Nobel tally and the award’s material and symbolic prestige.