Overview
- Rosario Board of Trade’s GEA pegs wheat at about 23 million tonnes, matching the 2021/22 record on 6.9 million hectares and an estimated national yield of 35.4 qq/ha.
- GEA maintains a corn outlook of 9.7 million hectares and roughly 61 million tonnes as early planting progresses despite frequent rains.
- Buenos Aires shows the sharpest contrast, with top yield potential alongside more than 210,000 hectares already lost to excess water after 1,100–1,500 mm of rain in hard‑hit zones.
- Crop mix continues to shift as the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange projects soybean area down 4.3% to 17.6 million hectares, while sunflower expands toward 2.5–2.7 million hectares with the potential for the highest output in decades.
- Córdoba’s exchange forecasts a provincial wheat record of 5.7 million tonnes on 1.79 million hectares and estimates farmers there will account for roughly 25% of national crop investment, about US$3.1 billion.