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Argentina Maps Reserve-Building Push as Dollar Nears Band Ceiling

Caputo promises a month‑end blueprint to buy dollars under a band regime that keeps the exchange rate near its ceiling.

Overview

  • - The government needs to add just over $9 billion to international reserves by year‑end to meet its revised IMF target, according to LCG cited by local media.
  • - The wholesale exchange rate sits at 1,420.50 pesos versus a 1,500.99‑peso ceiling, leaving little room for market purchases without triggering forced Central Bank sales.
  • - Luis Caputo told investors a plan will outline reserve accumulation, a sovereign debt buyback, and a potential acceleration of the crawling peg to 1.5% per month within roughly 30 days.
  • - The Central Bank funded a $796 million IMF interest payment directly from reserves to avoid pushing the dollar to the band’s top, as daily market volumes could not absorb the operation.
  • - Officials are accelerating privatizations and exploring debt placements, while markets rallied with risk premia dipping below 600 bps; January brings a $4.5 billion bond maturity, Bopreal outflows, and an IMF review that could disburse about $1 billion if approved.