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Argentina Launches Inflation-Indexed FX Bands as 2026 Markets Open

The new regime lifts the official peso, ushering in a reserve-building plan that faces an early liquidity test.

Overview

  • Banco Nación’s retail dollar rose ARS 15 to ARS 1,495 and the wholesale rate closed at ARS 1,475 on the first day of the inflation-indexed band, which is set to adjust 2.5% through January off the November CPI.
  • Dollar segments diverged, with CCL around ARS 1,540, MEP near ARS 1,505, the blue at ARS 1,530, and the crypto dollar quoted near ARS 1,54x.
  • The central bank reported gross reserves up US$1.934 billion to US$43.099 billion, made no FX purchases despite a stated daily buy target of about 5% of MLC volume, and faces roughly US$4.2 billion in obligations within a week.
  • Mexico’s peso held below 18 per dollar with a modest gain after a 2025 appreciation near 13.7%–13.8%, as analysts flag the 2026 T‑MEC review and the Fed’s path as key drivers; Peru’s sol opened stable around S/3.36.
  • Crypto markets were calm to positive, with Bitcoin trading near US$89,000–90,000 and major altcoins higher, even after reported net ETF outflows of about US$3.5 billion in November and US$1.1 billion in December.