Overview
- INDEC is set to publish the December consumer price index on January 13, with market surveys projecting a monthly rise between roughly 2.3% and 2.6%.
- Buenos Aires city reported a 2.7% increase in December and a 31.8% annual CPI for 2025, a guidepost many analysts use to infer the national result.
- Private consultancies including Equilibra, C&T, Analytica, EcoGo and Iaraf estimate national December inflation near 2.5%–2.6%, while the Central Bank’s REM points to 2.3%.
- Sector moves highlighted by the CABA report include transport on fuel and bus fare adjustments, restaurants and hotels, and food with notable meat increases above 7%.
- A national 2025 inflation rate near 31% would mark a sharp drop from 2024’s 117.8% yet remain above the 2026 budget’s 24.5% goal, with analysts calling for clearer exchange‑rate guidance to drive monthly readings lower.